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Trend analysis and seasonal variability of price and market arrivals of tomato in West-Bengal Sarkar Sourakanti*, Bera Bimal Bidhan Chandra Krishi Viswavidyalaya, Mohanpur-741 252 *Corresponding author: sourakantisarkar@gnail.com
Online Published on 16 March, 2022. Abstract The study has been conducted for observing the trend and seasonal variability of price and market arrival of tomatoes in five markets from five different markets of West Bengal. Seasonality analysis is done by the 12month moving average(TMMA) decomposition method and trend analysis is done through the ordinary least square(OLS) method after de-seasonalizing the monthly data over 2013–2014 to 2018–19 period. Study reveals that price is more stable in Barasat and Bardhaman across the months compared to that of the remaining three markets, namely, Chakdah, Siliguri, and Diamond Harbour which have experienced large month to month fluctuation in prices of tomatoes; but there is no definite pattern has been found for variability in market arrival. Generally, seasonal indices for arrivals are higher in those months which fall under the harvesting or postharvesting season of tomato whereas price-indices are lower these months. Including these months some markets (like Bardhaman, Chakdah, etc.) show higher arrival-indices also for some other months which discloses the fact about the farmers’ expectancy on higher prices in near future. The positive significant arrival trend is observed only in the Diamond Harbour market whereas a positive price trend is recorded in all five markets with varying magnitude. Top | |
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