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Asian Journal of Multidimensional Research (AJMR)
Year : 2019, Volume : 8, Issue : 9
First page : ( 23) Last page : ( 33)
Online ISSN : 2278-4853.
Article DOI : 10.5958/2278-4853.2019.00272.6

Forecasting of stock price volatility: An evaluation

Dr. Rajan G B Sabari

Associate Professor-MBA, GRG School of Management Studies, Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu, India Email id: sabarirajan@grgsms.ac.in

Online published on 16 October, 2019.

Abstract

This study is been conducted to forecast the market volatility using different econometric (ARCH) models and found the suitable model to measure the same. For the purpose of this study a sample of 24 automobile companies has been selected for research based on their market capitalization, which is classified under three categories-High, Medium and Low. The EGARCH model provides the most accurate forecast compared to other competing models in the study. The study also made few observations which may help the investors to understand better about the stock market.

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Keywords

Clumping, Observations, Econometric, Volatility.

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